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JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 1 Discussion

DQ1 INTRODUCTION TO INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS

What is intelligence analysis in the United States today? How has it evolved, and where is it going?

DQ2 TAXONOMY

Discuss the concept of taxonomy. How can the development of a taxonomy be used in intelligence analysis?

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 2 Discussion

DQ1 THE INTELLIGENCE CYCLE

Discuss each of the five stages of the intelligence cycle. Explain the function and importance of each stage and how each stage interrelates with the other four stages. Which stage do you think is the most important, and why?

DQ2 COLLABORATION

As the analysis of intelligence cases transitions from being a solo activity to a collaborative process, discuss why collaboration is so important in the U.S. Intelligence Community.

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 3 Discussion

DQ1 THE ANALYTICAL MIND

Discuss the two common approaches to dealing with the limitations of human thought. Evaluate their effectiveness.

DQ2 WHO MURDERED JONATHAN LUNA?

After reading the Jonathan Luna case, discuss the reasons why someone might target Jonathan Luna for murder.

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 4 Discussion

DQ1 THE SCIENCE OF ANALYSIS

Discuss whether intelligence analysis is a true science. How can analysts use science and scientific reasoning to help develop their analyses?

DQ2 HYPOTHESIS GENERATION AND TESTING

What is a hypothesis? Can the truth of a hypothesis ever be proven?

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 5 Discussion

DQ1 THE JONATHAN LUNA CASE

What does the sequence of events tell you? Are there any gaps in the information that should be addressed?

DQ2 HYPOTHESIS TESTING

How can we test the hypotheses we generate? What techniques can we use? For each of the four techniques for hypothesis testing covered in the lecture, describe a situation for each where it would be the best one to use.

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 6 Discussion

DQ1 CHALLENGE ANALYSIS

What is challenge analysis? Discuss the three types of challenge analysis techniques.

DQ2 WHO POISONED KARINNA MOSKALENKO?

Evaluate the media coverage of this case. What was the prevailing mindset of the public at the time the incident was reported?

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 7 Discussion

DQ1 PREMORTEM ANALYSIS

What is the purpose of premortem analysis? When is premortem analysis used? What is its goal?

DQ2 STRUCTURED SELF-CRITIQUE

What is the purpose of structured self-critique? How do analysts use structured self-critique to identify weaknesses in their analyses?

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 1 Assignment

REFLECTIVE JOURNAL

Throughout the course, you will keep a journal based on the questions and activities described below. Each activity should be answered based upon information from the discussions, readings, assignments, and personal reflections. References to concepts in the textbook and course material should be included.

The subject matter for your Week 1 Reflective Journal Assignment is detailed below. Your Reflective Journal Assignment should be written from a first-person perspective and should be academic in tone. Your paper should be approximately 500 words and must include a cover page, citations, and at least one reference in APA format.

Your Week 1 Reflective Journal will be graded based on the Reflective Journal grading rubric. Please answer all questions indicated below. This week, you have been introduced to the concept of structured analytic techniques.

Define structured analytic techniques and state three things you’ve learned about their application in intelligence analysis.

What expectations do you have of this class? Based upon your reading this week, did anything surprise you about the use of structured techniques in intelligence analysis?

What challenges do you think you will face in applying the structured techniques to intelligence cases?

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 2 Assignment

REFLECTIVE JOURNAL

The subject matter for your Week 2 Reflective Journal Assignment is detailed below. Each activity should be answered based upon information from the discussions, readings, assignments, and personal reflections. References to concepts in the textbook and course material should be included. Your Reflective Journal Assignment should be written from a first-person perspective and should be academic in tone. Your paper should be approximately 500 words (excluding the cover page, citations, etc) and at least one reference in APA format.

Your Week 2 Reflective Journal will be graded based on the Reflective Journal grading rubric. Please answer all questions indicated below.

This week, you will be introduced to your teammates. Throughout this session, you will be working together to analyze real-life intelligence cases using structured analytic techniques.

Based on the course material, discuss some of the benefits and possible pitfalls of working collaboratively during the intelligence analysis process.

What role do you anticipate having within your team?

If there are setbacks for you and your team, how would you consider resolving them?

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 3 Assignment

REFLECTIVE JOURNAL

The subject matter for your Week 3 Reflective Journal Assignment is detailed below. Each activity should be answered based upon information from the discussions, readings, assignments, and personal reflections. References to concepts in the textbook and course material should be included. Your Reflective Journal Assignment should be written from a first-person perspective and should be academic in tone. Your paper should be approximately 500 words (excluding the cover page, citations, etc) and at least one reference in APA format.

Your Week 3 Reflective Journal will be graded based on the Reflective Journal grading rubric. Please answer all questions indicated below.

Individually, consider the Jonathan Luna case and respond to the Analytic Value Added questions on page 72 of Cases in Intelligence Analysis.

Why would someone target Jonathan Luna for murder?

What are the most important controversies surrounding the case?

What is the most important evidence in the case?

What additional information should law enforcement seek out?

While responding to these questions, consider the development of your timeline with your group.

How did your individual analysis of the Jonathan Luna case help you to contribute to the development of the timeline?

What questions on page 53 of Structured Analytic Techniques did you help answer?

Don’t forget to submit your assignment.

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 4 Assignment

REFLECTIVE JOURNAL

The subject matter for your Week 4 Reflective Journal Assignment is detailed below. Each activity should be answered based upon information from the discussions, readings, assignments, and personal reflections. References to concepts in the textbook and course material should be included. Your Reflective Journal Assignment should be written from a first-person perspective and should be academic in tone. Your paper should be approximately 500 words (excluding the cover page, citations, etc) and at least one reference in APA format.

Your Week 4 Reflective Journal will be graded based on the Reflective Journal grading rubric. Please answer all questions indicated below. You have been working with your team to analyze the Jonathan Luna case using the simple hypotheses technique. During step 1 of the analysis, each team member was instructed to suggest up to three good alternative hypotheses or explanations.

Discuss the hypotheses that you shared with the group.

How were your hypotheses received by the other team members?

What did you learn about the steps necessary to develop a good hypothesis?

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 5 Assignment

REFLECTIVE JOURNAL

The subject matter for your Week 5 Reflective Journal Assignment is detailed below. Each activity should be answered based upon information from the discussions, readings, assignments, and personal reflections. References to concepts in the textbook and course material should be included. Your Reflective Journal Assignment should be written from a first-person perspective and should be academic in tone. Your paper should be approximately 500 words (excluding the cover page, citations, etc) and at least one reference in APA format.

Your Week 5 Reflective Journal will be graded based on the Reflective Journal grading rubric. Please answer all questions indicated below.

For the last 3 weeks, you have been working with your team to analyze the Jonathan Luna case using structured analytic techniques.

As your team progressed through the analysis of the Jonathan Luna case, what were the greatest challenges your team faced?

Did your work this session and the concepts from the course material help your team overcome those challenges?

Of the two structured analytic techniques utilized to evaluate the Jonathan Luna case over the last 3 weeks, which one was most difficult, and why?

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 6 Assignment

REFLECTIVE JOURNAL

The subject matter for your Week 6 Reflective Journal Assignment is detailed below. Each activity should be answered based upon information from the discussions, readings, assignments, and personal reflections. References to concepts in the textbook and course material should be included. Your Reflective Journal Assignment should be written from a first-person perspective and should be academic in tone. Your paper should be approximately 500 words (excluding the cover page, citations, etc) and at least one reference in APA format.

Your Week 6 Reflective Journal will be graded based on the Reflective Journal grading rubric. Please answer all questions indicated below.

This week, you have been introduced to the Karinna Moskalenko case, and your team should have begun analyzing and discussing it.

Individually, reflect on the case and respond to the Key Questions on page 7 of Cases in Intelligence Analysis.

Why is Karinna Moskalenko a target?

What tactics has Russia used in the past to poison opponents?

Are there any common features among the alleged poisonings?

Why do most observers believe that the Russian government is responsible for Moskalenko’s poisoning?

Don’t forget to submit your assignment.

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 7 Assignment

REFLECTIVE JOURNAL

The subject matter for your Week 7 Reflective Journal Assignment is detailed below. Each activity should be answered based upon information from the discussions, readings, assignments, and personal reflections. References to concepts in the textbook and course material should be included. Your Reflective Journal Assignment should be written from a first-person perspective and should be academic in tone. Your paper should be approximately 500 words (excluding the cover page, citations, etc) and at least one reference in APA format.

Your Week 7 Reflective Journal will be graded based on the Reflective Journal grading rubric. Please answer all questions indicated below:

For the last 2 weeks, your group has been analyzing the Karinna Moskalenko case using premortem analysis and structured self-critique. What were the greatest challenges you had to overcome as a group? What collaboration techniques did you use to overcome them?

Reflect on the overall experience you had working with your group this session. How did you work collaboratively to promote success?

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 8 Assignment

Final Exam

Question 1 (TCOs 1 and 2) Compare and contrast three types of structured analytic techniques.

Question 2 (TCO 3) Describe five common pitfalls that occur within small groups during intelligence analysis.

Question 3 (TCO 4) Discuss three ways in which structured analytic techniques help the Intelligence Community improve analysis.

Question 4 (TCO 5) Describe the practice of satisficing. How does it apply to intelligence analysis?

Question 5 (TCOs 5 and 6) Discuss three structured analytic techniques that use the decomposition and visualization approach.

Question 6 (TCO 5) Describe the pitfalls that can be avoided when analysts generate multiple hypotheses at the start of a project.

Question 7 (TCOs 6 and 7) What is challenge analysis, and why is it useful to analysis?

Question 8 (TCOs 5, 6, and 7) Discuss how a hypothesis is tested, and explain two of the techniques that can be used for testing hypotheses.

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 3 Assignment

GROUP PAPER 1

Your first Group Activity is related to the following Case Study from Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Who Murdered Jonathan Luna? Upon reading the Case Study, you will work with your group to prepare a response to Structured Analytic Techniques in Action Technique 1 Chronologies and Timelines Task 1—steps 1 and 2 (pp. 71–72). You should also respond to the Analytic Value Added questions on page 72.

As you formulate your timeline and respond to each of the steps, don’t forget to consider the following.

In your timeline, include references to Luna’s activities prior to his death and new information uncovered in the investigation.

Is there any time that is unaccounted for?

How many states did Luna drive through on the night of his death? How do we know this? Why is this important?

Here are some tips for success.

Using the information learned in Chapter 12, assign tasks and roles to each team member.

Correspond in the Team Discussion board in Week 3 regularly and create milestones for the team.

Respond to all steps and questions in the assignment, and clearly label each step in your analysis.

Respond to the Analytic Value Added after your steps are complete.

Your paper should be approximately 750–1,000 words, double-spaced, and must include a cover page and at least one reference in APA format.

Each student will be graded based on the Group Activity grading rubric.

Don’t forget to submit your assignment.

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 5 Assignment

GROUP PAPER 2

Your second Group Activity is due this week, and is related to the following Case Study from Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Who Murdered Jonathan Luna? Upon reading the Case Study, you will work with your group to prepare a response to Structured Analytic Techniques in Action Technique 2 Multiple Hypothesis Generation—Simple Hypotheses Task 3 (pp. 72–73).

As you develop your hypotheses and respond to each of the steps, don’t forget to consider the following.

When aggregating the hypotheses into affinity groups, consider multiple ways to display the affinity groups.

Does anything new come to light when considering the opposing viewpoint of the problem restatement?

Be sure to refine your hypothesis list to make the categories mutually exclusive.

Here are some tips for success.

Using the information learned in Chapter 12, assign tasks and roles to each team member.

Correspond in the Team Discussion board in Week 4 regularly and create milestones for the team.

Respond to all steps and questions in the assignment and clearly label each step in your analysis.

Your paper should be approximately 750–1,000 words, double-spaced, and must include a cover page and at least one reference in APA format.

Your grade will be based on the Group Activity grading rubric.

JADM485 Security Intelligence Analysis

Week 7 Assignment

GROUP PAPER 3
Your final Group Activity is related to the following Case Study from Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Who Poisoned Karinna Moskalenko? Upon reading the Case Study, you will work with your group to prepare a response to Structured Analytic Techniques in Action Technique 1: The Premortem Analysis and Structured Self-Critique Task 1 (Steps 1–9) and Task 2 (pp. 17–18).

As you develop your hypotheses and respond to each of the steps, don’t forget to consider the following.

What new evidence might come to light?

Are there any alternative perpetrators of the crime?

Is there good hard evidence in this case?

Here are some tips for success.

Using the information learned in Chapter 12, assign tasks and roles to each team member.

Correspond in the Team Discussion board in Week 6 regularly and create milestones for the team.

Respond to all steps and questions in the assignment and clearly label each step in your analysis.

Respond to the Analytic Value Added after your steps are complete.

Your paper should be approximately 750–1,000 words, double-spaced, and must include a cover page and at least one reference in APA format.

Your grade will be based on the Group Activity grading rubric.