12 Jul Economic Predictions Final Paper – You are to complete a term p
Economic Predictions Final Paper – You are to complete a term paper which analyzes and predicts the economic expansion/recession of a specific industry (oil, tech, manufacturing, transportation, other). As part of this analysis you should use the data and analysis from the Wall Street Journal and other sources to make your arguments. Your analysis should be deep, sophisticated and utilize data to support your arguments. The key to success is to present information/data that supports your personal predication of the economy. The final section of the analysis should be a clear and specific predication of where you believe the economy will be headed in mid 2018. The paper is due in Unit 12 ( Managerial Economics, A Problem Solving Approach 5th edition, Luke M Froeb & Brian T McCann 2018 ). 4-5 pages single spacedThe term paper should be organized into the following five sections (please use these as your section titles):I. Your personal theory regarding the direction of the economy associated with a specific industry (i.e. oil, tech, manufacturing, transportation, other).II. The industry economic and competitive environment and its outlook.III. Economic data regarding your industry and what the data tells us about the outlook for the industry.IV. An overall set of conclusions about your industry based on the data and your analysis.V. An appendix should be included to hold the statistical data you have collected to support your evaluation and conclusions for the above sections.The following are factors you may want to consider in your evaluation:1. Gross Domestic Product2. Inflation Rate3. Unemployment4. Industrial Production5. Personal Income6. Index of Leading Indicators7. Interest Rates8. Imports/Exports9. Government Spending10. Determinants of Aggregate Demand11. Determinants of Aggregate Supply12. Consumer Confidence IndexII. Industry Economic and Competitive Environment1. Economic factors that are important to the industry.2. The nature of the industry’s business cycle.3. The factors determining the business cycle.4. The market structure of the industry.5. Key competitive factors in the industry.III. Company Specific Economic Factors – Demand Structure1. Tastes & Preferences/Use of product2. Income/Customer size3. Price of substitutes/complements4. Expectations5. Number of customers
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